Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000144 0.000159 0.000176 0.000195 0.000216 0.000239 0.000266
2025-08-10 0.000113 0.000135 0.000160 0.000191 0.000229 0.000275 0.000333
2025-08-17 0.000095 0.000120 0.000150 0.000190 0.000242 0.000308 0.000399
2025-08-24 0.000082 0.000108 0.000141 0.000187 0.000250 0.000335 0.000458
2025-08-31 0.000071 0.000097 0.000131 0.000180 0.000252 0.000352 0.000505
2025-09-07 0.000065 0.000090 0.000126 0.000181 0.000262 0.000381 0.000571
2025-09-14 0.000060 0.000087 0.000125 0.000184 0.000276 0.000417 0.000652
2025-09-21 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000181 0.000280 0.000436 0.000708
2025-09-28 0.000049 0.000074 0.000111 0.000174 0.000277 0.000444 0.000747
2025-10-05 0.000046 0.000071 0.000110 0.000176 0.000289 0.000478 0.000832
2025-10-12 0.000044 0.000069 0.000110 0.000180 0.000304 0.000518 0.000936
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000066 0.000106 0.000178 0.000307 0.000539 0.001003
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000063 0.000105 0.000180 0.000319 0.000576 0.001112
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000060 0.000101 0.000177 0.000323 0.000600 0.001198
2025-11-09 0.000033 0.000057 0.000098 0.000176 0.000330 0.000630 0.001301
2025-11-16 0.000031 0.000054 0.000094 0.000173 0.000332 0.000652 0.001390
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000050 0.000089 0.000168 0.000328 0.000660 0.001450
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000168 0.000337 0.000695 0.001576
2025-12-07 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000171 0.000351 0.000745 0.001745
2025-12-14 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000168 0.000352 0.000764 0.001842
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000042 0.000080 0.000162 0.000345 0.000765 0.001892
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000041 0.000079 0.000164 0.000357 0.000812 0.002073
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000041 0.000080 0.000168 0.000374 0.000872 0.002299